Tall & Rich

A Yanqui’s View of Latin American Politics

Archive for January, 2008

Miracle election in Cuba

Posted by Jonn Lilyea on January 31, 2008

The Associated Press, in an article entitled “Cuba’s Raul More Popular Than Fidel” reports that to everyone’s surprise, the brothers won an upset reelection;

Acting President Raul Castro — not his older brother Fidel — was the top vote-getter in Cuban parliamentary elections, according to official results released yesterday.

Bespectacled, camera-shy and far less charismatic than Cuba’s ailing longtime leader, the 76-year-old Raul Castro received 99.4 percent of votes cast in the family’s base of Santiago in eastern Cuba — Fidel got 98.3 percent.

Both brothers easily won re-election to the rubber-stamp legislature known as the National Assembly of Popular Power, as did all of the 614 candidates presented to the island’s 8.4 million voters on Jan. 20.

After those three paragraphs of typical Communist propaganda, the truth outs;

The unopposed candidates needed to get at least half the votes cast in their districts, and none came close to losing.

What a miracle! The imprisoned and tortured population of Cuba elected their wardens overwhelmingly (CNN link to similar story). And voter turnout was astounding!

Officials said that 95 percent of eligible voters went to the polls, though about 4.5 percent of those turned in blank or invalid ballots. While voting is not mandatory, failing to do so can draw unwanted attention from pro-government neighborhood-watch organizations.

Cuba Watcher at Babalu Blog congratulates Raul;

My most heartfelt congratulations to Raul Castro on his having become the next primary target for an entire nation of maligned, angry people.

Marc Masferrer at Uncommon Sense says Raul scored bigger than Fidel because he’s been pandering to voters;

Instead of locking up dissidents for long prison terms, like Fidel Castro did during the “black spring” of 2003, Raúl has perfected a more subtle, but no less dictatorial, method. Under Raúl, the police are more likely to take you off the street or from your home, drive you to a police station, warn you to abandon your opposition to the regime, threaten you with a long prison term, take your picture and fingerprints and then let you go.

Isn’t that sweet of Raul? He’s a regular humanitarian.

Meanwhile, according to the Miami Herald, 7 more dancers defected from Cuba in Mexico Friday. I think that’s 10 Cuban dancers in the last three weeks.(CBS4 Miami link);

Last month, the three members of the Cuban National Ballet defected in Canada and crossed the border to the U.S., part of a slew of defections in December. Among the most famous was TV host Carlos Otero.

Four members of the Cuban National Circus and the popular Cuban group Los Tres de La Havana also made their way to the U.S.

I’ll bet they’re really kicking themselves that they missed out on this blowout election.

(In case you didn’t notice, I was being sarcastic)

But it reminds me of the news coverage over the October 2002 reelection of Saddam Hussein.

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Chavez; Columbia US Pawn

Posted by Jonn Lilyea on January 26, 2008

Photo from Reuters

So Coke-chewing Hugo Chavez’ cheese slid off his cracker-again-as he accused Columbia and the United States of plotting against him-again-according to a Miami Herald article;

President Hugo Chávez on Friday accused neighboring Colombia and the United States of plotting a military ‘’aggression’’ against Venezuela.

‘’I accuse the government of Colombia of devising a conspiracy, acting as a pawn of the U.S. empire, of devising a military provocation against Venezuela,’’ Chávez said.

‘’A military aggression is being prepared,’’ Chávez added. He did not offer evidence to support his claim.

But he warned Colombia not to attempt a ‘’provocation’’ and said Venezuela would cut off all oil exports in the event of a military strike from the neighboring country.

‘’In that scenario, write it down: The price of oil would reach $300, because there wouldn’t be oil for anyone,’’ Chávez said. “The invaders would have to step over our dead bodies.’’

Well, that’s a way to rally the people around you - promise them that they’d die before Chavez would allow himself to be killed. He’s beginning to sound like another former Latin American leader who dared to stand up to the United States by hiding behind his pueblo.

In the meantime, The Devil’s Excrement is reporting that on of the Chavez-hired thugs in the Maleta-gate investigation has changed his plea to guilty of intimidating a US witness in the case;

Moises Maionica one of the men charged in the US with being an agent of the Venezuelan Government in US territory in the Maletagate scandal, changed his plea to guilty in a sign that he is now coopertaing with US authorities. Immediately the Venezuelan Foreign Minister said Maionica was lying through his teeth in declaring himself guilty. Maionica was facing 15 years in jail if found guilty after declaring himself innocent, but has probably changed his plea now in exchange for immunity and reportedly, a US visa.

Daniel at Venezuela News and Views says this won’t affect Chavez much in Venezuela but impacts his world-wide image;

In Venezuela Chavez has little to fear. After all the judicial system is now inexistent and certainly not about to investigate Chavez on anything. No matter what the trials of Miami in the coming months might reveal, we can be assured that the most that will happen will be a delightfully botched operation such as the one on the Danilo Anderson assassination. That one lead to nowhere, though ensuring that at least a few political opponents were put in trouble for nothing, one still in exile. No, even if there were to be a judge willing to take on Chavez, or at least his corrupt camarilla, even if the other 3 in Miami were to plead guilty now and start talking, Chavez has much worse problems than Antonini to face anyway.

Because the HMS-Chavez seems to make water from all sides these days.

First, at least for Chavez, his foreign policy front, the only aspect of his rule that he really cares about, is collapsing right and left.

And that probably explains his macho muscle flexing in public. Katy at Caracas Chronicles says he has domestic problems, too;

However, I get the feeling that the government is slowly entering into panic mode. Increasingly, the tone I get - from the scandals, from what bureaucrats are saying in public, from what chavista talking heads say on the air - is that the revolution is in trouble, perhaps more trouble than we on the other side acknowledge.

Repeated defeats at the hand of chavismo have taught us not to have high expectations. But it’s hard to shake the sense that chavistas are on the verge of a nervous breakdown.

Gustavo Coronel at Las Armas de Coronel writes that the state-run oil company, PDVSA, is failing at producing and exporting oil, but they’ve switched gears into importing food stuffs;

PDVSA’s oil production has declined by some 800,000 barrels per day during the last seven years and it will inevitably keep declining, as investments are significantly below requirements. This means that oil exports, the economic lifeline of Venezuela, have also been declining, not only because production is down but also because domestic consumption is sharply up. Meanwhile PDVSA, led by the future liberator of Bolivia, Rafael Ramirez, has opened a new division called PDVAL, PDVSA Alimentos, to import food (faster than producing it). The opening of this new division has been a major event in the State of Zulia. It is born, says Ramirez, “to solve the problems of supply of basic foods, in answer to the existing situation of hoarding, contraband and detour of products”

So, the logical solution is to blame the US and Columbia, well…logical from a completely whacked out perspective, anyway. Hugo, why do you think they call it “dope”, compa?

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Hugo Chavez on milk, banks and bullets

Posted by Jonn Lilyea on January 21, 2008

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Hugo Chavez; I chew coke every day

Posted by Jonn Lilyea on January 20, 2008

Photo from Miami Herald

Well, this report in the Miami Herald explains alot about Venezuela’s president Hugo Chavez;

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No Mas FARC

Posted by Jonn Lilyea on January 18, 2008

I just got an email from Kate that the details for the DC “No Mas FARC” march has been finalized. It is scheduled for noon, February 4th at Freedom Plaza (about two blocks east of the White House) on Pennsylvania Avenue.

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Columbian guerillas raid Venezuela

Posted by Jonn Lilyea on January 17, 2008

Hugo_Chavez_and_Fidel_Castro_have_signed_an_energy_pact_with_Caribbean_states_leaders_2.jpg

While Hugo Chavez does his level best to get the world community of nations to remove FARC from their respective lists of terrorist organizations (Link to Venezuela News and Views), Columbian guerillas are kidnapping Venezuelans (Miami Herald link);

Witnesses and authorities interviewed by El Nuevo Herald say such groups recently have been widening their operational range beyond the Venezuelan-Colombian border zone and now penetrate deeper into Venezuelan territory.

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Speaking from a position of strength

Posted by Jonn Lilyea on January 14, 2008

In this morning’s Washington Times, Jon Ward reports from Abu Dhabai in his article “Bush Tries To Rally Iran Foes“;

President Bush yesterday appealed to the broader Middle East to unite against Iran and al Qaeda, and sought to reassure Arab countries that the U.S. will not abandon them if they do so.

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